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Old 06-20-2021, 07:16 PM   #73
Lt1
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Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 11,515
Hi Ken. According to Richies' guidelines to qualify as a longshot a non contender must rank in the top 5 of both CSR & VDC. That is the bare minimum. Now when deciding on whether to wager[or how much] on this horse I look for some supporting corollary rankings in either the primary or supplemental factors[preferably both]. What you are looking for is a top 3 ranking in any of the factors. The more factors it ranks in the top3 the better. I love it when a top3 ranking falls in one of the dominate factors of my model for win at the track concerned. The numbers I showed here were the actual rankings generated by my handicapping. Most times you won't find a lot of supporting factors, but when you do, be prepared to bet the horse with confidence, for w/p and in exotics. If support is lacking I will still make a small win bet and use the horse underneath in exactas and usually on top in $1 dds with my top 3 in the next race. In the older programs Doc pointed out that any horse that ranked 3-3-3 in E/P,SP, and AP was a prime longshot contender based on reports generated by both teaching members and clients. Similarly horses that ranked in the top 3 of 2 of the factor ie 3-3-x.3-x-3,x-3-3 also qualified. The x represented any rank above 3. In RDSS I use EPR,LPR, and CPR when looking for the 3-3-3 angle. Hope that helps.
Tim
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