Quote:
Originally Posted by Lt1
The best way to use %med is to establish a range [by surface and dist]] that winners
run at the tracks you play. For example at Parx[based on my capping] that range for winners at 6f is currently 68% to 70 %. Horses that run below or above that range normally do not win. I review the horses' entire chart to make sure it consistently runs above or below that range. I require at least 3 such races to be showing before downgrading the horses' chance of winning. Same goes for place[& show] horses for those that play exotics. As for lay off horses I check the trainers' record with such animals and also the pps to see if the horse itself runs well off those types of situations. Finally it must rate high enough on my readouts to be considered for being a possible play.
Tim
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Interesting. I hadn't considered using % Med as a criteria in selecting a pace line. How significant a consideration do you think that is? I mean, there are so many considerations to make a line "bad". Off track, wrong distance, wrong surface, too many races back, too far back on a young horse. wrong class level, horse stopped, etc. I know it is difficult to place the % Med criteria specifically into the list, but do you have some suggestion as to generally how far up the list of importance you place it?