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Old 08-11-2021, 03:51 PM   #18
rdiam
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 607
My pacelines:

1 -- try Line 2 (june 25) and Line 3 (june 12), second time Lasix, stretching out, but lowest ranked jockey and trainer in field

2 -- try Line 1 (july 17) and Line 3 (may 28): positive switch to Saez, stretching out, no works since raced 25 days ago

3 -- Line 1 (july 16): strong final fraction, Jose Ortiz tops in field, but speed rating slower than others

4 -- Line 1 (june 25): stretching out, weak first fraction

5 -- SCRATCHED

6 -- SCRATCHED

7 -- SCRATCHED

8 -- Line 1 (may 28): top trainer in field, trainer/jockey combo hot, stretching out, speed rating slower than others

9 -- Try Line 1 (july 5) and Line 2 (may 20):

10 -- Line 1 (june 25): stretching out, positive jock switch to Santana, but first time on grass, poor grass pedigree, but top speed rating (on dirt) in race

11 -- Line 1 (june 26): lightly raced, second time lasix, excellent workout pattern, strong final fraction, but stretching out, weak first fraction, trainer is cold

12 -- Line 1 (june 5): positive jock switch to Gaffalione, should get pressing trip, but stretching out

Matchup: 1 out early, pressed by 8, with 4,9,10,12 coming on midrace, and 3,11 closing

Betting strategy: win bets 9,10, ex 4/10,11,12, ex 11/1,2,3,4,10,12...worried about the 12, but can't bet them all...(my rule of thumb is no more than half the field as win contenders, so max four win contenders in nine horse field)

Good luck

Richard

Last edited by rdiam; 08-11-2021 at 04:00 PM.
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