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Old 08-15-2021, 10:27 AM   #8
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,872
# 1 Unknown factor, may return to previous best form.
# 2 UNK. factor, only 2 at surface and 1 at distance, could be anything.
# 4 Fresh & new cycle but 5 year old and at disadvantaged to younger up and coming.
# 5 on best can be competitive.
# 6 2nd off freshening, last needed, only 2 starts w/ much better trainer, expect improvement.
# 7 Unknown factor, disadvantaged 6 yr. old who has had several shots and against weaker however new trainer may have found hole card with last best, appears to have changed running style in last and get another fast pace today to close into.
#8 Only one start w/ new & better trainer and won. Top unknown. Looks like he wants on the lead and rated too much in previous attempts.
# 9 Unknown factor, only 1 start w/ new trainer and showed improvement from L on , may keep om improving.
# 10 trainer 33% w/ B off, improved from new trainer and only 2nd start w/ new trainer, running style improved last couple from off pace style and more effective, today gets a pace for perfect set up. Top unknown but at perfect distance and set up for new style.
Big knock on this one is 407 days since last race.

If off turf the 12 is best.

A real dartboard challenge here, take your pick. Not a prime betting race, save the house as there are better betting situations than this one. You would think 10-1 would be a good pay off for a race like this however many times I've seen the favorite or co favorite win. With young horses form belong to the connections.

Final decisions after scratches and a look at odds.

Mitch44
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