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Old 09-21-2021, 08:16 AM   #13
1retired
Grade 3
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 66
PACE Makes the Race/TPR

It's not a great example race since the E/L difference between the ltop horse and the next highest EPR horse was only about 12. But the E/L difference between the top horse and all other horses was over 20, and the horse finished third and paid 6.60 to show..

I have two other races that are even better examples of this angle. They both involve posts by FTL.

The first post is
"TP Race 3 & Lasix" by FTL on 1/27/2013l
This was an 8.5f Poly race for 5000C FM N2L. The winner (Prom Theme) paid $29.80 going off at 13.9-1. Prom Theme had an E/L difference of greater than 20 over every other horse in the race.

The second post is
"Bill V f goes the Extra Mile" by FTL on 1/19/20130
This was an 8f Dirt race for 16,000C 4+ N3-L on Jan 14, 2013. The winner (Foreign Review) won and paid #16.60 goi;ng off at 7.3 to 1. He had an E/L stick of +19 and the next closest horse had an E/L difference of -2, for a e difference between the 2 horses of 21.

I apoligize but I haven't learned how to make attachments or I would have shown both of these post threads on this email so that you can see exactly what I am saying. I think they at least show that this angle is worth further investigation, particularly since both involve route races which are more difficult

to go wire to wire in IMO.

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