[Mitch44]

These horses can win in certain Match Up's but their pretty much up against it. The Match Up and todays distance is important.

They can win in a route when nothing is there to challenge them, they may settle and not use themselves up. I.e. their the lone speed. With most of those horses they only have one way of running and that is all out from the start to as far as they can go. Look for evidence they can rate, and confirm that the line you chose that's 70% was an oddly run race for that horse, or was forced to because of a specific Match Up.

This + or - first appeared in PMTR under advanced concepts. That was in Beaten lengths. Sartin loved visual aids, hence the sticks. Actually % Med is more finite and somewhat more accurate. But I also looked at the sticks as those high numbers remind me to look at the Energy Tab on the analysis screen for confirmation along with its PP's Energy Tab.

One asset of either the sticks or the % Med is it helps to steer users away from the Visual ESP which is inaccurate and deceptive. When using ESP to assist with the Match UP it is extremely important to use the computer driven ESP which is obtained by % Med.

You may find more examples at smaller tracks. At higher class tracks they run better 3rd FR.'s so these types are forced to run at lower class tracks and smaller purses. But they can also be found at major tracks by inept trainers who aren't attuned to the deceleration factor and distance limitations of their horses.

My advice with horses 70% and above or with very high deceleration is to ignore them, unless your good with the Match Up and attuned to the distance Factor. They are exceptions and not the norm. You'll catch more winners by doing this.

lueylump was an excellent handicapper and knew when to zig or zag with this over + 20 etc. Few do and its not a hard and fast rule. Exceptions to everything in racing, doubtful at best his ability with this can be duplicated with a few rules.

Mitch44