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Old 10-14-2021, 12:38 PM   #3
Tim Y
turf historian
 
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Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
Left out one final thing

Michael Pizzola was a Sartin teacher in the early days before he went out on his own with Handicapping Magic and in that books describes with an interesting title SNAILS which stands of "Shown Nothing After Its Layoff."

Most horses show some regression after a layoff, but what he is describing is a significant one. This came up over the week at Parx in a feature race. 10th race on October 12th for the horse: I Am Redeemed. After a short layoff of 23 days this one came back in a race with the comment "asked final turn, empty." He then cam back in a stakes at PARX was bet down to 4/1 5/1 range and did exactly the same thing... a SNAIL.

Be very wary of declining form
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