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Some horses don't respond well to fast workouts and don't have Energy to spare. At times you'll see a very fast work or % of work and the horse fails to respond in the afternoon. Perhaps it took to much out of the horse or made it sore or it's just a Morning Glory. A smart trainer will adapt and follow up with slower workouts which causes a lower % against other horses. Others never adapt. Some that work slow run gangbuster in the afternoon in a race for love of the competition. A mart trainer will work them with another horse to get them to extend their selves.
Some trainers like Baffert work all his horses fast and other trainers always work theirs slow. The key is how the horse reacts to their training in a race.
Normally I see two slow workouts to follow a fast workout where the horse failed to respond and bang, they run a big race. Sometimes this is deliberate to fool watchful eyes or the public. Like pace lines they can't beyond the last one. Or the slower works are at a longer distance to build stamina. Naturally any horses has to be entered at the proper distance, surface and class to be seriously considered. Cause and effect, how has it responded?
Normally the higher the % of a workout are the best horses but a good workout followed by a couple slow ones or race mixed in there and a lower % horse can win. No hard and fast rules and there are exceptions to every rule when it comes to horseracing. Percentage wise the higher % horses are best which are what I go to. But I have learned to look at 2 slow workouts very closely since a high % one that failed to show it in a race. Especially if its longer like 5F or more as a stamina builder to go along with that speed.
Beware of horses that have not disgraced themselves at a dis., surface, or class.
(Unknown factor.) Particularity young horses that have not disgraced themselves at today's conditions. They pay well and have upside.
Some of this sounds more complicated than it really is. Its rather simple and the % of workout helps tremendously to determine form, which allows us to downgrade contenders or elevate others. Work with it for a while and it becomes 2nd nature and ups your game.
Good luck,
Mitch44
Last edited by Mitch44; 09-11-2022 at 03:34 PM.
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