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Old 09-20-2022, 07:28 PM   #1
Bill Lyster
Grade 1
 
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,509
When to disregard Best of Last Three

I wasn't sure where to put this, but I wanted to ask Mitch about lines for these three horses from today's 9th race at PRX. The 1-8-9 come from the same race and if you blindly accept the last race you probably do not come close to the winner.

In all three cases the adjusted speed rating is the highest or tied for highest for each horse. They are 3 YO Fillies and could improve but in at least two cases, the speed rating represents quite a jump in form.

My choices for lines are also shown. Can you comment on both the last line for each and subsequent lines chosen? much appreciated.

Here are the horses with races and workouts shown.

Name:  ScreenHunter_1493 Sep. 20 15.16.jpg
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Name:  ScreenHunter_1494 Sep. 20 15.17.jpg
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Name:  ScreenHunter_1495 Sep. 20 15.17.jpg
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