Quote:
Originally Posted by Speed Figure
What's the value of RDSS without the TS ratings?
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Speed,
RDSS has whatever value the Sartin Methodology had/has - it is an implementation of almost every phase of it over 30+ years: incremental energy expenditure over all segments of the race sensitive to the matchup of running styles and pace pressure, Total Pace Ratings, Early vs Late energy distribution, velocity/deceleration calculations and compounded factors, Bradshaw's Matchup, Lehane's moves against the pace, advanced form factor analysis, a pretty good Class Rating. Several core factors such as %Median can be modeled for a track and distance structure to determine typical E/L energy expenditures un/suited to winning. Live tote analysis in WPS pools (soon Ex and DD pools and live wager construction). RDSS gives you tools to nuance the form analysis and suitability of horses to today's matchup of runners (i.e. demote/promote horses contrasting to public opinion).
Without Prime Power and ProfitLine ratings, you can arrive at an oddsline (Bottom Line/Betting Line) which has stood the test of time for nearly 30 years though less profitable alone in modern times. Adding essentially 2 other
public oddslines (PP and PL) gives a form of 'triangulation' to the other Sartin-derived factors which puts the prime contenders within the Top 4 ranks of the Rx3 oddsline a very high percentage of the time. Using the '
4 Factor methodology' researched by late member Rich Mathie, lower-ranked Rx oddsline longshot horses with none-the-less 'stealth' credentials leads to some very good, not infrequent vertical wager opportunities. Adding in intelligence from the live tote pools puts you in even a better position to pass or play into good opportunities when they are identified.
As a long-time reader of this site, I suspect you knew all this, but were perhaps wondering what the TS Ratings add to the tried and true Sartin stuff? Others may wish to elaborate from their own usage, but I would venture to say that you can still find all the same opportunities of the modern Sartin Methodology
without use of those TS Ratings However, merging them into a high-level oddsline (IMO) results in a better oddsline than any of Prime Power, ProfitLine, BL/BL or live Tote odds alone.
So, the best of all worlds (so far)?
Ted