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1 more look at charting doubles, exactas
This was r9 on 9-17-23 at bel/ aqu
I refined Illich’s method to suit me.
If u look at the ratios in the doubles you’ll see the two shortest ones with a 2&6 ratio. Now the winner the race before paid $2.90, so the ratios were low. Had he paid $22.90 all the ratios would’ve been higher BUT the principle remains the same!
Anyhow, the 12,9,and 4 had 8-8-9 ratios, but the 3 which was a higher double was a 7 ratio. True the 2 was a 5 ratio but was only a $42 double so he was in line with the #8&5 horses.
So once you see where the money might have gone in the doubles now I turn my attention to those horses in the exactas. Now true these are the final odds and exacta prices but the principle remains the same. Now if you’re quick enough to spot what I saw you can make some money!
The #1-11 were both 3-1 on board and with the 12 you see a 595 exacta. When you look at the 3’s exactas with the 11 he was 1157 BUT with the 1 he was 392, almost an 800 difference but more importantly was 200 less than the 12 horse. The 3 was almost double the odds on the board than the 12. Mathematically that should not be, so that tells me the 3 is a very live horse on the board.
If you look at his pp’s u probably would pass him by, but he did take money in his last race compared to his prior races if I recall so you can say the connections touted him. I really doubt they wanted to try at a shorter price than previously.
That’s how I think. So you think what you want. I alway approached the game as dishonest or disingenuous and I dared them to try and hide the money from me. These guys are not Rhodes scholars and even the top trainers winning all sorts of
money still scheme and cheat. If you watch the board you’ll beat them at their own game too.
I’m still in rehab. I really screwed up my bad hip and still can’t walk. May be here for a few months and am giving up my apartment. Probably wind up in assisted living until doctors decide to give me a new hip. Not a good candidate.
Omar
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