Good morning;
I posted a result yesterday regarding a pick 3 play and Ted asked me to show how I did it. I like to play horizontal wagers, doubles, pick 3, and pick 4's. I usually like to pick a couple of different tracks to play steady so I can develop a model and hone in on what's important during contender selection. I decided this winter that I am going to play Fairgrounds as one of my main tracks, so I'm just starting to build a model. Fairgrounds is an hour behind so when I can get home from work, I can play the late pick 3 or 4 depending on the number of races. I decided to play the last pick 3 yesterday when I got home so here is how I did my contender selection. I use most of the screens and tab through each screen - here is how I do it. The first thing I do is to look at pace lines that are selected. I usually use the ones the program picks although I make changes if it is a router in a sprint race,etc. The race below is the last race in the sequence. I use the energy tab to start:
I eliminate any horse on this screen that doesn't have a colored number here as based on my experience, they usually don't win. Here is what I end up with:
Next I go to the PMTR/TRP tab and eliminate any horse that isn't within 10 points of the top rating:
Here is what's left:
[IMG]
As you can see, using these 2 eliminations I'm down to 4 contenders. Keep in mind that the more contentious a race is, there may be a lot more contenders here early on. Continued in the next post.