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Old 11-18-2023, 09:57 AM   #2
Mrbill
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 173
The next screen is the segments screen. I usually look at this to see if how it looks. One of the things I do if I have a track model is to check the computed beaten lengths at the finish. Based on past information in some of my models and tracks is that this can be a very strong indicator for the win if you are in the top 4. Since I don't have a model for the Fairgrounds yet to determine if this a viable statement, I didn't use it here.

I go to the next tab which is primary factors and I look for any horses that don't have any colored highlights and eliminate those horses. That wasn't the case with this race so I didn't have any eliminations.

Next I will go to BL/BL screen and see who are the top 4 contenders and make a note of that. The last screen is RX; I will look at this to see which horses from BL/BL have strong corollary support. Doing all that I have the following horses from each race as my contenders:



As you can see, I've eliminated the horses that haven't had a start on turf as they usually don't win even though there numbers look very strong and I have 3 contenders.





As you can see, I have 3 contenders in the first two legs and four in the last. Depending on how many contenders I have left in any leg, I'll go to the POH screens and see if I can make any eliminations. I may also look at the horses past performances to see if any are declining in form or not. I usually end up with 3 or 4 horses at the end. In this case I eliminated the 12. I got lucky in the last leg as when I did the wager, I see I put in the 3 horse instead of the 13. I modify this method some when I have a model as I can then usually have some other elimination factors available. Good luck to everyone!
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