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In the image here, the runners are sorted by the ES% column.
From my scans of the New Pace screen, my guess is that the
probabilities of which horse(s) are most likely to grab/contest the early lead (1st call)
aren't calculated solely based on the "early speed points";
and that the adjusted numbers seen in the Velocity POH screen are involved.
Am I correct? or wrong about this?
More questions:
Are the individual runners' "early speed points" calculated by RDSS?, and how?
Is it about the runner's competitive lines?,
or just based on early position and beaten lengths?;
and is the "RS & early speed points" designation limited to recency (or a set number of lines back in the PPs)?
I thought I did read that RDSS does an average of the runner's
early position & lengths behind; but I don't know how many lines back
RDSS goes.
I'm aware of how William Quirin used to add up the "early speed points";
and how Dave Schwartz did it about 6 years ago.
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Next to the #7's 34 in the 62% Accum. column looks like a 56.
What does that mean?
The #1 is the swing horse? OK.
It sounds like he's neither Early nor Late.
Finally, the "POR: 86" at the bottom of the 62% Accum. list.
Not sure how to use that, or if it's meaningful at all.
Thanks in advance,
Mike
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