I wanted to add some further information on the race. I had decided the race would indeed run late so I played it that way. The other screen I used for the decision to play the 11 as the key was the primary screen where I compared the 3 candidates for key under LPR, HID, and VDC. As you can see I could have also chosen the 1 which would have cost us the exacta but a Tri key box would have still won.
So how did the race run?
We can see the 10 got out with the 2 and battled to the 2nd call and the 10 fell apart. The 2 faltered and gave up the lead to the 7 who was midpack and had tons of energy and the 11 came flying down the lane to get up for 2nd. Just as we thought without getting
"too" caught up in the numbers.
