Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Lt1 · 01-13-2026, 11:24 AM

On one of the training vids I pointed out that when BPP & PL had the same top3 picks[regardless of the order] that 1 would win between 80-85% of the time. That was based on when top class horses were running. Now that we have entered the winter season, when many low class races abound, I decided to do a quick 100 race survey to see what came up. The trks used were Parx, MVR,LRL,& GP. Here are the results
RACES Wins Places Shows Outs
100 75 17 4 4
So as you can see the w& fell however take note that one of these 3 won or placed 92 times out of the 100 races. Still a pretty nice %. In fact when this situation arises I tend to make 1 of them my key horse for the race.
Tim

01-13-2026, 11:24 AM	#1
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,520	BPP & PL Have Same Top 3 Horses On one of the training vids I pointed out that when BPP & PL had the same top3 picks[regardless of the order] that 1 would win between 80-85% of the time. That was based on when top class horses were running. Now that we have entered the winter season, when many low class races abound, I decided to do a quick 100 race survey to see what came up. The trks used were Parx, MVR,LRL,& GP. Here are the results RACES Wins Places Shows Outs 100 75 17 4 4 So as you can see the w& fell however take note that one of these 3 won or placed 92 times out of the 100 races. Still a pretty nice %. In fact when this situation arises I tend to make 1 of them my key horse for the race. Tim __________________ Trust but verify