Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

DanBoals · 07-06-2026, 12:15 AM

Hi Jeff,

I will jump in

I know Howard put out a book called The Pace Line in July, 1987 - and Ted is kind enough to keep it on this site.

In it he mentioned some things I found useful - like

a contender's second best paceline in the last 10 is often more predictive than the best

and

always use the LAST RACE unless there is a valid excuse to go back further

trouble line
off track
wrong distance
wrong surface
class level too high
first race of the track in the current meeting
bottom of form cycle
bad finish - but good early
poor early - but good finish

I don't know if Pizzola came up with these originally, but when his book Handicapping Magic came out in 2000, these were really old rules by then.

07-06-2026, 12:15 AM	#2
DanBoals Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Reno, NV Posts: 452	Hi Jeff, I will jump in I know Howard put out a book called The Pace Line in July, 1987 - and Ted is kind enough to keep it on this site. In it he mentioned some things I found useful - like a contender's second best paceline in the last 10 is often more predictive than the best and always use the LAST RACE unless there is a valid excuse to go back further trouble line off track wrong distance wrong surface class level too high first race of the track in the current meeting bottom of form cycle bad finish - but good early poor early - but good finish I don't know if Pizzola came up with these originally, but when his book Handicapping Magic came out in 2000, these were really old rules by then.