Quote:
Originally Posted by froggy
I found this very interesting. Do you do this on most of your races or on just the grass?
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All surfaces. It is a way to differentiate the PERFORMER (the horse) from a single, often sample errored PERFORMANCE,
where it may have run exceptionally well just the one time.
Once you have your contenders down to a reasonable group, go back and match up each contender's better lines to the group to see if any particular one is dominant. If your five finalists are A B C D E, match A1,A4, A6
(A's better lines when it was in form and consistent style) to B,C,D,E then go through EACH of the other contenders in like fashion. When any one stands out as have two or three that are consistently better than the field, you have a very solid bet.
Works better in non-maiden races as those characters usually get better quickly and it is their last two lines that usually tell the tale.
It happened in the 4th today as well but not at such a great price as Indolent had three lines better than this field as well.
4th race - Turf Paradise - March 27, 2007
Pgm Horse Jockey Win Place Show
1 Indolent Jocelyne Kenny 8.80 4.80 3.80
4 Graded Star Ry Eikleberry 11.20 5.40
7 Alligator Mean Joseph L. Durigon 10.40