Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

socantra · 04-08-2007, 06:19 PM

[QUOTE=JimG;17626] When I read things, like don't use any paceline over 7.5 furlongs, I do not really take it as an absolute, but as a guideline to most players that if you choose a paceline out of that realm, use extreme caution.

/QUOTE]

Bingo,

I've been known to use an occasional line beaten over 7.5 myself, but I try to do it with a great deal of caution AND an awareness that the Sartin energy programs will have tendency to make a horse beaten badly in the final fraction look better than it actually ran.

There is consideraable difference in a horse who stayed with the pace through the second cll or even the stretch and then tailed off and one who was beaten ny many lengths throughout the race, especially if that horse was showing signs of improvment from previous races.

I think "Extreme Caution" is a great replacement for "Rule"

Dick

04-08-2007, 06:19 PM	#3
socantra Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Norman, OK Posts: 387	[QUOTE=JimG;17626] When I read things, like don't use any paceline over 7.5 furlongs, I do not really take it as an absolute, but as a guideline to most players that if you choose a paceline out of that realm, use extreme caution. /QUOTE] Bingo, I've been known to use an occasional line beaten over 7.5 myself, but I try to do it with a great deal of caution AND an awareness that the Sartin energy programs will have tendency to make a horse beaten badly in the final fraction look better than it actually ran. There is consideraable difference in a horse who stayed with the pace through the second cll or even the stretch and then tailed off and one who was beaten ny many lengths throughout the race, especially if that horse was showing signs of improvment from previous races. I think "Extreme Caution" is a great replacement for "Rule" Dick __________________ "Ils Sont Partis"