Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

JimG · 04-09-2007, 10:42 AM

I don't have 3 things, only 1.

I try to pick the paceline that I think most closely represents how I think the horse will run today.

How do I determine that? Through years of observation and experience. I look for things like trainer changes, jockey changes, layoffs, form cycles, class changes, equipment changes, makeup of current race as it pertains to early pace, post postition, track bias, etc. The class of horse and track can make a big difference. Picking pacelines for Saratoga is very different from picking pacelines for Mountaineer. Recency certainly matters and if I think 2 lines are representative of the effort I expect the horse to give today I will normally pick the most recent of the two lines.

I know this may not be classic Sartin, but it is how I do it.

Jim

04-09-2007, 10:42 AM	#9
JimG Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 992	I don't have 3 things, only 1. I try to pick the paceline that I think most closely represents how I think the horse will run today. How do I determine that? Through years of observation and experience. I look for things like trainer changes, jockey changes, layoffs, form cycles, class changes, equipment changes, makeup of current race as it pertains to early pace, post postition, track bias, etc. The class of horse and track can make a big difference. Picking pacelines for Saratoga is very different from picking pacelines for Mountaineer. Recency certainly matters and if I think 2 lines are representative of the effort I expect the horse to give today I will normally pick the most recent of the two lines. I know this may not be classic Sartin, but it is how I do it. Jim