Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Speculator Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Ted Craven · 05-21-2007, 11:55 AM

Mufasa,

The Longshot Detector screen is a Pace of Race time weighted by Pace of Horse time - Line Score thingy, expressed in seconds and 10ths. You're right that the screen captions do not match the printed captions - the screen captions are correct. Times are the adjusted call times from the Manual Adjust Screen: equalized to today's distance, normalized according to Daily Track Variant, and adjusted by any Inter Track Variant, plus any Manual adjustment you may choose to make. In other words, the adjusted times upon which all the rest of the velocity, energy and compound factors are based.

PORSC is Pace of Race 2nd Call time (with ranks)
PORFT is Pace of Race Final time
POH2F is Pace of Horse Fraction 2 time (i.e. POR F2 time adjusted by the horse's beaten lengths)
POH3F is Pace of Horse Fraction 3 time

TOTAL is a sum of the foregoing 4 times for each paceline (with ranks). As with Perceptor Total numbers, the Sum itself is not valuable per se, rather the rank and perhaps relative difference between pacelines.

Thus, the lowest TOTAL (rank #1) will go to the horse who ran faster (i.e. who had faster F2 and F3 times) against a faster 2nd Call and Final POR.

In the example below, the paceline I chose for Curlin showed he ran against a seriously faster POR than that of Street Sense, and his own F2 and F3 times against that pace (especially F3) made him a strong contender (at least off this readout).

Hope that answers it!

Ted

05-21-2007, 11:55 AM	#36
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,258	Mufasa, The Longshot Detector screen is a Pace of Race time weighted by Pace of Horse time - Line Score thingy, expressed in seconds and 10ths. You're right that the screen captions do not match the printed captions - the screen captions are correct. Times are the adjusted call times from the Manual Adjust Screen: equalized to today's distance, normalized according to Daily Track Variant, and adjusted by any Inter Track Variant, plus any Manual adjustment you may choose to make. In other words, the adjusted times upon which all the rest of the velocity, energy and compound factors are based. PORSC is Pace of Race 2nd Call time (with ranks) PORFT is Pace of Race Final time POH2F is Pace of Horse Fraction 2 time (i.e. POR F2 time adjusted by the horse's beaten lengths) POH3F is Pace of Horse Fraction 3 time TOTAL is a sum of the foregoing 4 times for each paceline (with ranks). As with Perceptor Total numbers, the Sum itself is not valuable per se, rather the rank and perhaps relative difference between pacelines. Thus, the lowest TOTAL (rank #1) will go to the horse who ran faster (i.e. who had faster F2 and F3 times) against a faster 2nd Call and Final POR. In the example below, the paceline I chose for Curlin showed he ran against a seriously faster POR than that of Street Sense, and his own F2 and F3 times against that pace (especially F3) made him a strong contender (at least off this readout). Hope that answers it! Ted Attached Images __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 05-21-2007 at 11:58 AM.