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Old 05-24-2007, 09:23 AM   #1
Forego
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 639
my new approach to the races

i was getting very inconsistent results after a while using thoromation.i also had been reading a lot of the matchup posts and was intrigued to say the least.

i contacted richie about a month ago away from the board.he asked if i wanted to use raw times. i honestly told him no that it was too much work.

he spent 4 nights on the phone with me explaining 2 race types.

first one is when there are at least 2 preferably 3 early horses present. he said to identify these races and then simply throw all the early one's out of consideration. then find the horses remaining who make moves visually and close when they run well. pick a paceline for each of these guys and using the trackmaster download and val4 (which he gave me) bet the strongest horses readout wise without wagercapping. he said it was very important to be able to identify bets before the odds were known.

this race style was present in woodbine's 4th race i posted up in selections area last night.the 1,4,7 were the early horses. threw them all out. the visual moving contenders were 2,3,5,6. I entered lines 1,1,3,3 respectively and the 6 and 5 came up extremely strong. result was most satisfying to say the least.

2nd race type is one he explained where early is going to be advantaged. either a horse looks like he might wire the field or there is an early horse present who seems to tire on his own leaving the race win to the horse sitting right behind him or very close by. these races he said to reverse the contender procedure and keep the early plus any up close position guys and do not put in any off the pace type horses. enter the 2,3 or 4 early style contenders and again identify and bet the strongest readouts without regards for odds. this example was sunday at charlestown. the 10th race produced a very nice win mutual when the 9 horse crossed the wire first at over 6/1.

my contenders per race are averaging about 4.

it is not just the races i am betting but possibly more important the races i am not betting that is helping me have an roi that right now is bordering on being obscene.

with all sincerity i do not know why he is not doing this because he has done races with me and it seems almost effortless for him to identify the contenders. he gave me hours of his time to teach me this setup and i am grateful.

bill has told me a couple of folks were trying to contact me privately. i do not wish to share my email address or the like. i am a private man and hope folks will respect that. that is the reason for this post. to explain what i am doing.

the outline above is exactly what i am doing at the races for the last 3 weeks.
i have left nothing out.folks share freely here so this is my turn.

richie thank you so much for helping me and bill for making this all happen.

F.B.
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