Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

admin · 08-18-2007, 10:11 AM

Here is a work up test I did
I had a feeling from somewhere that all my early horses
always faded. I asked if the early pressure or lack of it
made a differance and could my early horses go wire to wire

My test is to find 20 wire to wire winners that opened
big leads, That is over 1 BL at the first call and over 2 BL
second call, What happens to the final speed rating
on both the original and adjusted speed ratings ?

Here is the result of my test
Almost always The big win easy lead race is a once in
the past performance history of the horse.
The speed ratings is almost always the highest one it shows in
its history, It was only 20 races but I saw many horses
that this race messed them up They never were the same after
Many don't even get a lead at all after the race. and they slow down
in there speed ratings

Here is the work up
Big openings -Races were winner had a +1 lead at the first call
and a +3 BL win at the 2nd call and went wire to wire

Code:

#1  +3    Normal 93 orginal  Highest ever 91 adjusted 
#2  +4    Highest ever 61 0rg  Highest 75 on Ajusted
#3  +3    Highest ever 73 speed rating original Normal 76 adjusted 
#4  +2    Highest ever 81 on both screens 
#5  +1.5  Highest ever 81 on both screens
#6  +3    Highest ever 83 on Org. 85 on Adj.
#7  +2    Hihest ever  91 on Org. 79 on Adj
#8  +3    Not highest ever 63 but has not raced near that in the last 7 races 
          since then 38,55,0,39,0,42,26 speed ratings 
#9  +6    Not highest 99 on Org  but Highest 86 on Adj.
#10. +3.5 Highest ever 95 Org Slowed way down to below normal 75 on Adj
#11  +3   Normal 88 on Orig   Normal 85 on Adj,
#12  +5   had a 106 earlier. In this race had a 101 but again since than
          speed ratings 90,98,90,98,79
#13  +2   Highest ever 72 on Org. Very normal 66 on adj 
#14  +4   highest ever 68 org, 77 adj. 
#15. +2   Normal 49 original and 58 Adjusted 
#16  +6   High 90 org. Norm 81 Just held on. This horse also lost a 10 BL lead 
#17  +5   High 89 org. Highest ever 83 on adjusted
#18  +2.5 2nd Best 85 org  Normal 77 adjusted
#19  +2.5 Normal 74 org   Highest 81 Adjusted
#20. +9   Highest 82 org. and 2nd highst 82 Adj.

08-18-2007, 10:11 AM	#1
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Big win test Here is a work up test I did I had a feeling from somewhere that all my early horses always faded. I asked if the early pressure or lack of it made a differance and could my early horses go wire to wire My test is to find 20 wire to wire winners that opened big leads, That is over 1 BL at the first call and over 2 BL second call, What happens to the final speed rating on both the original and adjusted speed ratings ? Here is the result of my test Almost always The big win easy lead race is a once in the past performance history of the horse. The speed ratings is almost always the highest one it shows in its history, It was only 20 races but I saw many horses that this race messed them up They never were the same after Many don't even get a lead at all after the race. and they slow down in there speed ratings Here is the work up Big openings -Races were winner had a +1 lead at the first call and a +3 BL win at the 2nd call and went wire to wire Code: #1 +3 Normal 93 orginal Highest ever 91 adjusted #2 +4 Highest ever 61 0rg Highest 75 on Ajusted #3 +3 Highest ever 73 speed rating original Normal 76 adjusted #4 +2 Highest ever 81 on both screens #5 +1.5 Highest ever 81 on both screens #6 +3 Highest ever 83 on Org. 85 on Adj. #7 +2 Hihest ever 91 on Org. 79 on Adj #8 +3 Not highest ever 63 but has not raced near that in the last 7 races since then 38,55,0,39,0,42,26 speed ratings #9 +6 Not highest 99 on Org but Highest 86 on Adj. #10. +3.5 Highest ever 95 Org Slowed way down to below normal 75 on Adj #11 +3 Normal 88 on Orig Normal 85 on Adj, #12 +5 had a 106 earlier. In this race had a 101 but again since than speed ratings 90,98,90,98,79 #13 +2 Highest ever 72 on Org. Very normal 66 on adj #14 +4 highest ever 68 org, 77 adj. #15. +2 Normal 49 original and 58 Adjusted #16 +6 High 90 org. Norm 81 Just held on. This horse also lost a 10 BL lead #17 +5 High 89 org. Highest ever 83 on adjusted #18 +2.5 2nd Best 85 org Normal 77 adjusted #19 +2.5 Normal 74 org Highest 81 Adjusted #20. +9 Highest 82 org. and 2nd highst 82 Adj. Last edited by admin; 08-18-2007 at 10:14 AM.