Quote:
Originally Posted by lsosa54
I'm assuming RDSS will come fully documented but can someone point me to the quickest resources for studying Speculator, which I guess was the final Sartin Methodology program? I'd like to fully understand the betting form which seems to focus on BL/BL and V/DC, which again I don't fully understand. I'd also like to understand the rules around "hiding".
Thanks much. Lou.
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Lou,
I think you'd get a lot out of slowly and carefully reading Follow Ups 75 - 88 (in the Pace and Cap Library, write Admin if you need access). Focus on:
- discussion of selecting relevant pacelines (using the Paceline Indicator in Val, now Perceptor in Spec and RDSS),
- elminating to top 5 and ties Total Energy/Primary Line Score (on Val Total Energy and Primary Factors screen - BL/BL screen in Spec and Primary Factor screen in RDSS)
- evaluating the top 3 ranked (or
tiered) on BL/BL, seeking corollaries by V/DC ranking, and conformation to your records re Early/Late distribution for the track, surface and distance structure
- hiding, or mentally skipping over horses you won't bet on due to low too odds, though remembering them for exotics
- selecting a 2 horse win box (or a 2 horse entry, or 2 horses to win, etc) comprising your remaining top tiered horse, and the best overlay in your top 3, if you get a worst case resulting net mutuel of 1.5 - 1 (or whatever your records say your edge is) or pass the race if you can judge a legitimate favourite
- setting up a good record keeping system to know how you're doing, where your strengths currently are, what's the next area to focus on; try the wagercapping decision form in the Follow Up, or similar ones posted here and there on this website
- use that record keeping system to seek constant and never ending improvement, every single 20 race cycle; use that as a source of positive endorphins
- if you learn something true, share it with others
You can find all of the above in those Follow Ups, and you can make the cross references between screens referred to by Doc for Validator to those in Speculator (minus V/DC, alas), and in RDSS at least vicariously until it's released. In the Speculator forum, there are lots of race workups, many by Richie back in the day, some by me and others. If you see a race done in RDSS, in Spec mode, and it intrigues you, run it through Spec to get the same result, and learn by doing, the different thought processes of the various practitioners.
If you want to use Spec, you should get Spec160 (just ask) - it works better than earlier versions of Speculator.
The documentation on Speculator is indeed dodgy, and this website is as good as it gets for learning some of the finer points. The later Follow Ups are not at all irrelevant and you can learn a lot still from them. Also, just ask for clarification on anything you're researching - lots of people are quite expert at the various readouts and procedures.
RDSS will be documented very well (in due course
), and gradually there will be lots of video tutorials and regular online seminars.
I think Forego's opinion is quite on the money that this style of the Methodology has been around for 10 years and the mutuels have not gone missing yet.
Lastly, I will always agree that Doc invented all this and eternal thank you's for that work, Guy Wadsworth added a few finesses (subtracted a few others), and I have tinkered with a few tidbits so far, but almost managed to hoist it all up to the 21st Century so we can begin another round of the 'evolution of the handicapping revolution'.
Hope that gave you a few ideas!
yours,
Ted