Quote:
Originally Posted by sdahl
How far back would you go in lines looking for an early horse. It seems sometimes that certain horses change styles. Also, on this example you were using adjusted times. Is that because some of the races were from other distances.
Stan
|
Hi Stan,
Both example races I used adjusted times. This is for software/adjusted data users.
I have received 78 replies of interest in my newsletter so far. 62 of them said they were using adjusted data and software but wanted to incorporate some of Hat's teachings to help them. When I told Jim this he gave me a few things to think about.
What you see here in this thread are the steps of some of those things he put in my head.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regarding the early horse(s) it's kind of a race by race/horse by horse issue if that makes sense.
Like the 2 horse in this last example race. he is off a long time BUT the both times he raced at Hoosier he went for the lead at 2 different sprint distances (5.5 and 6). To me it "looked right" to assume he is going to go for the lead today.
I definitely agree with you about horses changing styles. If a horse 3 races back went to the front in a 22.4 and his last 2 races at same track/distance the 1st calls went in 23.1 /23.2 and he didn't go then I have a hard time calling this guy early TODAY and using that 3 back line to project from. Jim calls this "not getting on top of fractions he did before".
Richie