Quote:
Originally Posted by mufasa
Rich, if the designated early horse can not go all the way then it is an OTE race.
I am thinking the #7 horse takes the lead away from the #2 horse by the half mile in something like 1:13.2/5ths which might be a little too fast but he is definitely not letting the #2 horse run the half in 1:14 and change. This is my basis for wining this race with now the # 10 horse because again the #7 horse has run too fast to put away the #2 horse. Even if the #7 horse were to run the half in his more seemingly comfortable 1:13 and 3/5ths the #10 horse with his solid power line and power move in his 5th pace line should blow right by him.
The #10 horse in his 5PL back ran a nice race against a 1:11.3/5ths with a first call time in the 8.3F race of 46.0 so he is a P that can stay comfortably close at today’s project numbers and pounce at the half to win the race. In addition as support the #10 horse in his 7th race back in the slop showed that he can stay close at today’s projected pace.
The only question that could remain for me would be conditioning, and forgive me for bringing this up, but his 2nd race back IMF and his last race of running within 3.5L to the half suggest some good form. I would consider the #10 horse without this form consideration but since it is there why not mention it.
Thanks,
Robert
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TREMENDOUS work Robert.
The ONLY thing we need to focus on when going deep in pp's for a power line: Is the horse still a horse looking at his last couple of races.
Robert you did this race pretty much solo and NEVER used or worried about that dreaded word - ADJUST
May I ask if this was a good experience for you?
Also while we are here let me drop some of Hat's favorite tracks on you to consider ok?
1) Philly
2) Delaware
3) Aqueduct
4) Belmont
5) Saratoga
6) Calder
7) Gulfstream
8) Churchill
9) Turfway
10) Fair Grounds
Richie