Quote:
Originally Posted by CC Brown
This race is the one I continued to miss. When I think OTE I always look for the best late horse or closer. Then I wonder why I got beat by an earlier horse.
CC
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CC
Your above quote is exactly what I was doing in the first few months working with Hat.
To the point where Jim told me "Rich you are giving these sustained closers way too much credit. Part of the reason is you are giving final time too much consideration."
I have worked over a thousand races with Hat on the phone. Maybe 2 races has he ever carried the working/matching of a race to the finish.I am dead serious. He relentlessly worked/matched races with me the SAME way.
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1st call - 2nd call - stretch call -who is the fastest horse closest to the lead positionally? Who wins?
1st call - 2nd call - stretch call -who is the fastest horse closest to the lead positionally? Who wins?
etc etc
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This is very easy to say yet very hard to actually DO:
Begin trying to FOCUS more on things happening on the LEFT side of the past performance line (1st call,2nd call,positioning etc) instead of all the way to the right (final time,finish position,speed rating etc).
After a couple of weeks working races this way in earnest you will suddenly find yourself less and less betting on the deep sustained closers.
Richie