Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

10-05-2005, 12:04 AM

The 7.5 maximum beaten lengths rule is one of those "sacred cow" rules I break all the time when THE CONDITIONS WARRENT IT. An improving horse is put into a race, and the trainer either OVER-ESTIMATES his improvement (goes up against a field that is too tough), or wants to hide it by ruuning it against a pace that this one cannot come close to. It's total energy is within the top 5 or 6 in TODAY'S match up but that improvement is hidden by the yardstick of a very fast pace (beaten lengths in the lines evaluated over the limit of 7.5 lengths). It's racing style, in these defeats, becomes EARLIER as it cannot keep up, but this one is NOT going off form since it is holding it's total energy.

The total energy on the horse is improving or shows signs of improving: let's say it runs at the 4 calls with beaten lengths 2,4,9,11 then next race 1,2,4,8 . It is just OVERMATCHED not overwhelmed and the rider (correctly) did not persist with it (often methinks with instructions). If, on the other hand, the beaten length lines read 12,11,10,9 this one just WATCHED the race and NEVER participated in it at all. The higher total energy was just a "gift" of participating in that faster race.

BOTH garnered high total energies but one was PART of the pace and improving, the latter never was and that total energy is passive and NOT accepeted.

10-05-2005, 12:04 AM	#4
TaWee Guest Posts: n/a	not a heretic really The 7.5 maximum beaten lengths rule is one of those "sacred cow" rules I break all the time when THE CONDITIONS WARRENT IT. An improving horse is put into a race, and the trainer either OVER-ESTIMATES his improvement (goes up against a field that is too tough), or wants to hide it by ruuning it against a pace that this one cannot come close to. It's total energy is within the top 5 or 6 in TODAY'S match up but that improvement is hidden by the yardstick of a very fast pace (beaten lengths in the lines evaluated over the limit of 7.5 lengths). It's racing style, in these defeats, becomes EARLIER as it cannot keep up, but this one is NOT going off form since it is holding it's total energy. The total energy on the horse is improving or shows signs of improving: let's say it runs at the 4 calls with beaten lengths 2,4,9,11 then next race 1,2,4,8 . It is just OVERMATCHED not overwhelmed and the rider (correctly) did not persist with it (often methinks with instructions). If, on the other hand, the beaten length lines read 12,11,10,9 this one just WATCHED the race and NEVER participated in it at all. The higher total energy was just a "gift" of participating in that faster race. BOTH garnered high total energies but one was PART of the pace and improving, the latter never was and that total energy is passive and NOT accepeted.