Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

MIKE1121 · 03-16-2008, 07:58 PM

Reading Pace Makes The Race I noticed that the book in its example races ( 30 races ) had the winner in one of the last 3 races ( they only gave ratings for each horses last 3 races ) about 80 % of the time.

My thought is that by only looking at the last 4 races and the horses best paceline of his bottom 6 races ( for a total of 5 pacelines )that I could eliminate some of the clutter but yet maintain the most representative pacelines.Most of the time it seems like I am only looking at the top 2 pacelines anyway, unless its a turf race then I look at all of them.

Has anyone here, done any study on the % 's that each paceline is used?How important are pacelines 5 thru 10 in predicting a horses chances?

Mike.

03-16-2008, 07:58 PM	#1
MIKE1121 Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 131	Pacelines Reading Pace Makes The Race I noticed that the book in its example races ( 30 races ) had the winner in one of the last 3 races ( they only gave ratings for each horses last 3 races ) about 80 % of the time. My thought is that by only looking at the last 4 races and the horses best paceline of his bottom 6 races ( for a total of 5 pacelines )that I could eliminate some of the clutter but yet maintain the most representative pacelines.Most of the time it seems like I am only looking at the top 2 pacelines anyway, unless its a turf race then I look at all of them. Has anyone here, done any study on the % 's that each paceline is used?How important are pacelines 5 thru 10 in predicting a horses chances? Mike.