Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

10-15-2005, 04:02 PM

FIRST each race is unique so it has to be evaluated independently.

The e/l balance and style for MOST sprints at MOST tracks is both POSITIVE and early, early/presser. MOST of the sprint winners belong there from our keeping records. IF the sprint projects "speed duel" (two or more nags above 70% median in their history) a "picking up the pieces' S/P type might get there. BUT that usually DOES NOT HAPPEN. Or if the S/P has a huge total energy advantage on it's side, the can overwhelm a field. You see this with higher calss sprinters all the time.

FORM cycle: If a horse is rounding into form, as a sprinter, it is usually by showing improving early speed by velocity, not position. A review of the horse's total record will tell one WHERE on that cylce they are at today and where they HAVE BEEN. If a horse usually runs too fast early (above 70% median) and improving EPR is not as notable a factor. As the horse rounds into form, but not quite there, it will go progressively further into a contest as a competitor. The total energy improves as does their EPR. As the animal progresses the LATER fractions will usually improve as well, but WHILE it is moving that way, the improving early might be the only key to this form cycle improvement. As it does progress, it might fall short last out, but that improvement is still there nonetheless, so often the rider, understanding he has a live mount, will not punish the horse and will not persist, saving it for the next time. So, the final fraction will suffer, keeping the total energy LOWER than it is capable of being. The animal got his prep, he is competitive and waitng for the next time out. A review of all the lines will show what this one has done, so last out can be a guage. STYLE is very OFTEN more important that total energy especially when PROJECTING.

If on the other hand, a sprinter of an S/P nature needs a total energy near the top all the time to be a competitor. That one has to OVERCOME the normal e/l style of the surface and distance so the TOTAL energy has to be to it's advantage.

10-15-2005, 04:02 PM	#7
TaWee Guest Posts: n/a	here's the logic FIRST each race is unique so it has to be evaluated independently. The e/l balance and style for MOST sprints at MOST tracks is both POSITIVE and early, early/presser. MOST of the sprint winners belong there from our keeping records. IF the sprint projects "speed duel" (two or more nags above 70% median in their history) a "picking up the pieces' S/P type might get there. BUT that usually DOES NOT HAPPEN. Or if the S/P has a huge total energy advantage on it's side, the can overwhelm a field. You see this with higher calss sprinters all the time. FORM cycle: If a horse is rounding into form, as a sprinter, it is usually by showing improving early speed by velocity, not position. A review of the horse's total record will tell one WHERE on that cylce they are at today and where they HAVE BEEN. If a horse usually runs too fast early (above 70% median) and improving EPR is not as notable a factor. As the horse rounds into form, but not quite there, it will go progressively further into a contest as a competitor. The total energy improves as does their EPR. As the animal progresses the LATER fractions will usually improve as well, but WHILE it is moving that way, the improving early might be the only key to this form cycle improvement. As it does progress, it might fall short last out, but that improvement is still there nonetheless, so often the rider, understanding he has a live mount, will not punish the horse and will not persist, saving it for the next time. So, the final fraction will suffer, keeping the total energy LOWER than it is capable of being. The animal got his prep, he is competitive and waitng for the next time out. A review of all the lines will show what this one has done, so last out can be a guage. STYLE is very OFTEN more important that total energy especially when PROJECTING. If on the other hand, a sprinter of an S/P nature needs a total energy near the top all the time to be a competitor. That one has to OVERCOME the normal e/l style of the surface and distance so the TOTAL energy has to be to it's advantage.