Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

thelyingthief · 04-23-2008, 07:47 PM

woodbine early: DO prefer trainers known to win off LO--there are a handful of trainers there who use the early part of the meet to make their season's profits; DO match up horses irrespective of recency; DO expect early horses, those Bradshaw is known to prefer, to win more than their share, despite the artificial surface; DON'T expect this to last; DO prefer horses with recent action IF they show a liking for the venue, although Aqueduct racing is cheap in the winter, and form from there does not transfer; DON'T expect great prices at the outset; DO make careful use of class criteria.

believe it or not, this is the most "formful" time at Woodbine, hence, it tends toward the chalkish; later, it gets A LOT more competitive, and a lot less accessible to past-performance, WYSIWYG kinds of handicapping.

course, that's when you make money.

tlt

04-23-2008, 07:47 PM	#12
thelyingthief Grade 2 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 88	woodbine early: DO prefer trainers known to win off LO--there are a handful of trainers there who use the early part of the meet to make their season's profits; DO match up horses irrespective of recency; DO expect early horses, those Bradshaw is known to prefer, to win more than their share, despite the artificial surface; DON'T expect this to last; DO prefer horses with recent action IF they show a liking for the venue, although Aqueduct racing is cheap in the winter, and form from there does not transfer; DON'T expect great prices at the outset; DO make careful use of class criteria. believe it or not, this is the most "formful" time at Woodbine, hence, it tends toward the chalkish; later, it gets A LOT more competitive, and a lot less accessible to past-performance, WYSIWYG kinds of handicapping. course, that's when you make money. tlt Last edited by thelyingthief; 04-23-2008 at 08:05 PM.