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There are some questions here:
1 - the 2 has never run on dirt. She is probably the quickest E of the group, but with plenty of company. In the one turn mile at AP she faded after 6f in 113.3. In her win she was 1st fighting, lost ground and position to 3rd and then 4th - then rallied to win - it looks to be by the default of others gasping harder than her. In her last race after pushing the pace, faded to 7th and then rallied to pass two horses. This horse doesn't like the lead IMO - so she is not the fastest here!
2 - the 5 in its debut was off slow, so we really don't know much about her preferred position. But in this field that should not matter (its a benefit) as everybody else is early or can only win from 2nd or 3rd position.
If the 2 is best E all the E/P's get lunched here. In any event the E's and EP's dual themselves into submission. The only horse in this field that has passed anyone is the 5.
Stop the presses - bet the five!
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