Quote:
Originally Posted by shoeless
You were right telling me that Jim Lehane's book was the best thing for me.
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Hey Jeff!
Now watch this. Peek at the pp's for the winning 9 horse when you can ok?
Then open up CH to the "Valuation" chapter and forgetting the ml shown let's make OUR fair value line for this horse.
He won that last mclm race at 4.4 to 1. Today he steps up to winners. So MY way of evaluating was to double his 4.4 odds to 8.8 to 1. Sound reasonable?
Now I factored in that he is lone early in THIS matchup PLUS a fighter of multi calls. I reduced that 8.8/1 to 6/1 because of these factors. JL stresses making REALISTIC lines. That 6/1 seemed more than reasonable to me.
At 2 mtp my 6/1 fair odds line buck was 9/1. There is the BET ME signal big bro.
That book is totally awesome. Greatest thing is one can use their own personal factors to create these lines.
You matchup horses use matchup stuff for the line making.
You use angles use angle stuff for line making.
You use trainer/class stuff use that for line making. Etc Etc
You will never need software or something to show you an odds line again.