Thread: Turf Sunday
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Old 11-02-2008, 01:03 PM   #3
alydar_ David
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
This is an interesting race.

Using my new homemade program which assigns a power number for each race, I came up with only three serious contenders. Every race listed is in chronological order, with the most recent race on the top.

This is the first race I've shown with this program. So take it with a large grain of salt. I'm pretty much done with the tweaking though.

The only adjustments would be weight changes today. And that wouldn't make much difference unless it was an extra five pounds, which would equate to a full point penalty for overweight.

#1 Miss Blarney Stone at 12-1
78 (most recent)
75 (second race back)
75 (third race back)
75 This was run after a seven month layoff. Note the horse didn't bounce. She ran a 75 the next out. Then 75 again. That's very strong.

#2 Seasons Wise at 20-1
75
78
75
76
79
Not only is she fast enough to win, she's got good works too. She's also the projected pace leader at the second call.

#5 Boxitup at 5/2
76
77
77
77
75
77
She's the Morning Line Favorite. Certainly nothing wrong with her, and I'd use her for multiple race bets. But the value clearly lies with #1 and #2.
alydar_ David is offline