[Tim Y]

My betting coach: "I often see my card playing adversaries completely deny reality looking to get their action "fix" when it is reality that will eat away at their bank roll. They will be playing, seeing obviously that another player is showing two kings, and DISREGARD completely, the odds of that player winning, somehow looking for the pie in the sky score. Granted, a hand showing like that will pay big in SOME situations, but the reality of it tells you just to fold. I see the same thing in horse bettors when they try to find a horse that will beat a logical odds on favorite in a big stakes race, when the reality of it is, at even money some of those horses are STILL ovelayed relative to their real probability of winning. Unless there is a real, obvious reason to consider that horse has weaknesses against its opponents today, either Pass, or use it as a key in an exotic. Don't LIE to yourself."

Moral: Hunt when there is a need to hunt otherwise accept what is.