Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

RichieP · 03-09-2009, 05:09 PM

[QUOTE=RichieP;49665]Curious if anyone has done a workup of these specific races using Howard's guidelines of best of last 3, 7.5 blf as max. Talking minimum of 200-250 races specifically for nw2l.

Also using the TM download as data source and advanced Methodology software:
1) Synthesis
2) Validator
3) Validator 2
4) Validator 3
5) Validator 4
6) Rdss in Validator mode
Talking specific races where NO horse has won beside his maiden win. Not these multi condition jobs.

Hiding to top 5 total energy and primary line score and tracking % of winners top 5.
[code]

Following up here.

Out of curiosity I ran the last 102 nw2 lifetime races from all tracks through an automated validator type application (to save some serious time)using Howard's guidelines above for line selection:

Winner is in the top 5 83% of the time and when broken down by specific tracks some real strong ENERGY biases are emerging:
Golden Gate - Epr
Santa Anita - Lpr
Tampa Bay - Lep
Philly - Eep
Mountaineer - Fx

Worst performing track by FAR - Sunland Park

Will be interesting to see if some of this carries forward to live races. Most interesting stuff and thank you to thread starter and Chris for getting the juices flowing

03-09-2009, 05:09 PM	#56
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	[QUOTE=RichieP;49665]Curious if anyone has done a workup of these specific races using Howard's guidelines of best of last 3, 7.5 blf as max. Talking minimum of 200-250 races specifically for nw2l. Also using the TM download as data source and advanced Methodology software: 1) Synthesis 2) Validator 3) Validator 2 4) Validator 3 5) Validator 4 6) Rdss in Validator mode Talking specific races where NO horse has won beside his maiden win. Not these multi condition jobs. Hiding to top 5 total energy and primary line score and tracking % of winners top 5. [code] Following up here. Out of curiosity I ran the last 102 nw2 lifetime races from all tracks through an automated validator type application (to save some serious time)using Howard's guidelines above for line selection: Winner is in the top 5 83% of the time and when broken down by specific tracks some real strong ENERGY biases are emerging: Golden Gate - Epr Santa Anita - Lpr Tampa Bay - Lep Philly - Eep Mountaineer - Fx Worst performing track by FAR - Sunland Park Will be interesting to see if some of this carries forward to live races. Most interesting stuff and thank you to thread starter and Chris for getting the juices flowing __________________ "Grampy I'm talking to you!"