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Old 04-26-2009, 03:01 PM   #7
Tim Y
turf historian
 
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Join Date: Feb 2008
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The e/l CAN be the major factor to consider at many a speed favoring oval OR, on days when, by monitoring it race to race, A DEFINITE BIAS shows up.I can't begin to tell you what an advantage it is to know, IN ADVANCE, how the track will run all day long

STYLE over SUBSTANCE is the essence of this idea that I first discovered at BOTH inner Aqueduct and Fort Erie (opens next weekend thankfully). Many horses, once the e/l range of a particular track and distance is established, can be evaluated mainly on how their energy style compares to what wins at their track on THIS day.

A second level to the e/l is RELATIVITY. Since I started following the methodology, SPEED beats stamina all the time and the relative positions of the e/l will tell you which ones have speed and which have stamina (closing ability against this pace today). E/L relativity on the dirt is there all the time once the extremes of the e/l (mostly all on the negative side) are dismissed.

The Derby will show this I predict, yet again.

All of this coming from a West coaster, who did not discover, nor BELIEVE in track bias, until I abandoned the West coast ovals. Since they all turned SYNTHETIC, that has been a good thing.
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