Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

socantra · 02-22-2006, 12:16 AM

There's nothing wrong with trip handicapping, except that it requires frequent attendance at the track or the watching of hours of video replays.

Likewise, body language or physicality handicapping has its place, but is most effective at the track where you can view paddock and post parade close up. I still remember Trillis Parker's "tootsie rolls". I've also gone through a lot of Tackach stuff and find it fairly effective if I'm at the OTB with the nice big screen monitors, but it's of little use at home where I do most of my handicapping and wagering.

It's also extremely hard to transfer the skill by words alone. I don't think I've ever known anyone who became proficient at body language out of a book. It's a style that almost requires someone to physically show you and some people have a real hard time picking it up even then.

It's also far from foolproof and dangerous to apply from something as simple as a toss of the head, or a horse walking short in the post parade. Many seasoned old claimers are all but lame in the post parade and work it out in the warmup, and angry horses win races every day. I remember one oldhorse at Remington Park that contributed greatly to my income. If the horse looked normal in the paddock, keep your money in your pocket, but if it showed up trying to bite the trainer, savage the groom and go after the other horses, you could run to the window. It would usually continue its show thru the post parade, then settle down and warm up for the race. I'd watch people mark it off as it acted up and go put more money on it. That old horse had two speeds, off and pissed.

If it works for you, that's great. I'm not at the track often enough to get much out of it these days and I play too many different tracks to worry much about the connections. I find that wagercappping generally gets me enough long odds winners that I can wind up ahead of the game without worrying too much about the other stuff. Usually, it seems the more information I get, the more I second guess myself and the less effective I am.

dick...

02-22-2006, 12:16 AM	#12
socantra Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Norman, OK Posts: 387	There's nothing wrong with trip handicapping, except that it requires frequent attendance at the track or the watching of hours of video replays. Likewise, body language or physicality handicapping has its place, but is most effective at the track where you can view paddock and post parade close up. I still remember Trillis Parker's "tootsie rolls". I've also gone through a lot of Tackach stuff and find it fairly effective if I'm at the OTB with the nice big screen monitors, but it's of little use at home where I do most of my handicapping and wagering. It's also extremely hard to transfer the skill by words alone. I don't think I've ever known anyone who became proficient at body language out of a book. It's a style that almost requires someone to physically show you and some people have a real hard time picking it up even then. It's also far from foolproof and dangerous to apply from something as simple as a toss of the head, or a horse walking short in the post parade. Many seasoned old claimers are all but lame in the post parade and work it out in the warmup, and angry horses win races every day. I remember one oldhorse at Remington Park that contributed greatly to my income. If the horse looked normal in the paddock, keep your money in your pocket, but if it showed up trying to bite the trainer, savage the groom and go after the other horses, you could run to the window. It would usually continue its show thru the post parade, then settle down and warm up for the race. I'd watch people mark it off as it acted up and go put more money on it. That old horse had two speeds, off and pissed. If it works for you, that's great. I'm not at the track often enough to get much out of it these days and I play too many different tracks to worry much about the connections. I find that wagercappping generally gets me enough long odds winners that I can wind up ahead of the game without worrying too much about the other stuff. Usually, it seems the more information I get, the more I second guess myself and the less effective I am. dick...