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I would say that is a tough question without looking at the entire race and ALL the horses total pace performance.
There are questions that need to be asked.
1) Is the 8 "normally" a presser?
2) Is the 8 "normally" a presser that challenges for the lead?
2a) WHERE does he like to challenge for the lead if that is his character and usually at what position?
3) If so, what fractions does he like to challenge?
4) Are there "other" pressers positioning themselves as 2nd or pressing for the lead? How does he handle this situation?
5) Or does he like being "alone" pressing or chasing the leader?
6) How does he handle the lead or being in the lead?
7) What does he do when he overtakes the lead?
8) Is he "alone" when he does this or are there "other" horses right with him and HOW does he handle that, based on his past performance?
9) Is his "BREAK" position a factor or not, according to this horses PP's? How many horses does he have to pass to get his "preferred" 1st Call position and at what Fraction?
10) Is the race going to run "Early" or "Other-Than-Early"?
Questions I ask myself all the time, to get some pattern of "THIS" horse, "TODAY" in "TODAY'S race, because one has to ask himself, "the way the horse runs "TODAY", and how he "feels" TODAY(condition) and the types of competitors/characters/personalities he is facing TODAY may make what he did YESTERDAY useless and obsolete, TODAY.
Just some thoughts.
VoodooFan
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