Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Ted Craven · 03-13-2006, 09:39 AM

Good point. In order to avoid this, consider all modelling as a short term activity, perhaps 1 week, but also look at what seems to be happening over a couple of days recently. Sometimes the first few races of a day can confirm or deny that what was applicable yesterday is or is not effective today. I don't see a sum or average line in this model sheet - better to just look item by item, look for actual facts, trends.

Some factors can persist, say most Early at AQU winter sprints, or not near 0 at SA sprints, but some appear and disappear within days.

Paying attention and writing it down is, I think, the operative issue.

Ted

03-13-2006, 09:39 AM	#3
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,256	Good point. In order to avoid this, consider all modelling as a short term activity, perhaps 1 week, but also look at what seems to be happening over a couple of days recently. Sometimes the first few races of a day can confirm or deny that what was applicable yesterday is or is not effective today. I don't see a sum or average line in this model sheet - better to just look item by item, look for actual facts, trends. Some factors can persist, say most Early at AQU winter sprints, or not near 0 at SA sprints, but some appear and disappear within days. Paying attention and writing it down is, I think, the operative issue. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 03-13-2006 at 09:46 AM.