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Old 09-04-2009, 09:19 PM   #10
reckless
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: near Philadelphia Park
Posts: 259
Chaos

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob Cochran View Post
Any race for nw2 lifetime that has lof and long lof horses in the race is considered by myself as a "chaos" race. The #4 didn't fire. What happens if the #7 fails to fire ?

IMHO,
BObC
hello Bob, everyone:

I am glad I saw this last post because I truly would like to know how you define a race to be chaos ??

Is a chaos race a race where every horse in the field has never raced farther than 5 1-2 furlongs and are now in a 1 1-16th mile turf race ? (This scenario often happens later in the 2-year-old season when it's time to stretch out and/or try the turf.)

Is a chaos race one that has some horses dropping 40% in claiming value, some horses coming off nine-week layoffs plus the two program favorites are trained by guys that win at a 6.5 per cent success rate ??

Is a chaos race one where the entire seven horse field is 7-for-168 (the nw 2-life variety) ??

And, is it a chaos race if there are a number of horses capable of winning, meaning your typical even or 'wide-open' race ? How does a generally 'tough' race differ from a 'chaos' race ?

Finally, is the race chaotic because of the glaring mish-mash of horses in the field, or is it really the handicappers' mind that's in a state of chaotic confusion ??

Thanks Bob for your recent postings and sharing of your handicapping thoughts.

Good luck, always.
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