Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
Hi Rich .
Is this 7 days or 17 days
Also your rebates would help pay for 7 or 17 days of data files from every
track.. RdSS is not cheap. What is the cost for "Bill from Brooklyn"
to be able to download all thse tracks ??
and what approximately is your handicapping time worth
Bill
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Hey Bill
The bets were made over 7 days this month.
What I meant about rebates is this: at smaller tracks (Mnr,Rp,Ct, Zia etc etc) there is a point where betting larger wagers actually has you betting against yourself in a way.
Let's make an assumption for discussion purposes ok? Lets say I can easily(assuming RDSS template gives me what I need saving countless hours of manual input etc) bet 700 horses to win a month using my "setup".
Lets also assume that I can make a + 5% ROI on all these bets before any rebates.
So I have made 700 win bets in 30 days. Let's also assume that $20 win bets (after bank has built up and still only 1% of bank is being bet per wager. Anything more is suicide according to Pizzolla and I agree 10000% ) are made.
That is 14k a month bet. Lets take a 6% rebate. that's 840 clams back on that + 700 bucks profit on the actual wagers.
total return risking 14 large a month is 1500 bucks. Not for nothing big deal.
Now read on other sites about all these astronomical sums being bet monthly and I cant "get there from here".
What I mean is if I increase wager size to larger amounts (especially the smaller venues where MOST of my plays are) I am betting into myself and reducing odds quite possibly.
I have had this discussion with Ted privately and told him that CJ over on PA is the ONLY one who sees what I described above happening.
He has stopped betting these smaller tracks for the exact reason I outlined above saying "its not worth his time with the small pools" and has taken to only playing a few larger venues and increasing significantly wager size.
I honestly don't see it but I am not the smartest bulb in the fixture.
As far as costs for "Bill from Brooklyn" or whomever that's for them to find out Bill. I have a 9g a year tax bill on the house here. I have to take care of my business. Trackmaster blessed me with a comp account and I am looking for/exploring ways to exploit that plain and simple.
Drive safe!