Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP
Hi "B"
This is awesome stuff!
I was on the phone with Barb when I read your post and she told me she also favors total energy so she is for sure checking your post out going forward.
I'm definitely checking it out and I love your minimum odds layout cause unless you are getting a 3/1 on a strong top rank buck I can't make money on lower odds horses. Just going "gut feel" your odds minimums shown are totally in my comfort zone 
Thanks for sharing and I will definitely let you know what I see going forward a bit
Tu Salute "B"! |
Hi Richie,
Hope those results can be of some use. Just wanted to add that most of this sample was taken from the NY and CA circuit tracks, Woodbine, Monmouth, with a few additional mid-level tracks. TE is extremely effective at the bigger tracks, especially SA, HOL, and WO, and worked very well at GP during the winter. I'm not completely sure that these results could be extrapolated to smaller tracks, which may be less well-maintainted and be running more erratic animals, even at the same class levels.
One phenomenon I found at some lower-level tracks, and would like to explore more, is 'TE-clustering', that is many races at these places seem to have horses with extremely bunched TEs, to the point where it can't be used a separator. My take on this is these are horses of very equal ability where the winner is the horse who happened to 'wake up' that day, or where other factors have greater significance. But as I said, this is an area for further exploration maybe for those who play or know these tracks well.
This probably goes without saying, but TE doesn't work as well with racing surfaces and tracks which are either extremely early or late, which seem to me to comprise about 15% of races.
Best of luck to you and Barb.
Cheers,
B Jennet