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Old 10-28-2009, 04:55 AM   #44
RichieP
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,019
Quote:
Originally Posted by BJennet View Post
Hi Richie,

Hope those results can be of some use. Just wanted to add that most of this sample was taken from the NY and CA circuit tracks, Woodbine, Monmouth, with a few additional mid-level tracks. TE is extremely effective at the bigger tracks, especially SA, HOL, and WO, and worked very well at GP during the winter. I'm not completely sure that these results could be extrapolated to smaller tracks, which may be less well-maintainted and be running more erratic animals, even at the same class levels.

One phenomenon I found at some lower-level tracks, and would like to explore more, is 'TE-clustering', that is many races at these places seem to have horses with extremely bunched TEs, to the point where it can't be used a separator. My take on this is these are horses of very equal ability where the winner is the horse who happened to 'wake up' that day, or where other factors have greater significance. But as I said, this is an area for further exploration maybe for those who play or know these tracks well.

This probably goes without saying, but TE doesn't work as well with racing surfaces and tracks which are either extremely early or late, which seem to me to comprise about 15% of races.

Best of luck to you and Barb.

Cheers,

B Jennet
Morning B
Well Barb and myself found 3 races last night to look at using your outline:
Penn 5th
Mnr 7th
Mnr 8th

I haven't heard from her yet but it was very profitable as your minimum odds requirements per ranking only produced 2 plays from the 3 races and 1 very nice winner:

Mnr 7th - #5 (#1 total energy off last line. why big price? going up in company off sharp win) WINS $15.20

Definitely something to check out here and again thank you for sharing. The very best vibes to you and yours
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