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Old 11-10-2009, 10:50 AM   #30
Ted Craven
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rjaymes24 View Post
BILL, Newbie here. Where can i find a copy of this "Follow up"? And i am confused with all the abbreviations, anywhere can I find what CPR, TT, HE, Fw means. thanks. Ryan
Ryan,

I encourage you to spend some time reviewing the Follow Up journals in the Library, as Bill advises and which I think you have access to, beginning with Issues 70 and forward. Doc Sartin talks regularly about the different factors which make up the Primary and Supplementary Factor sets.

Here, though, is a quicky primer on the factors you mention:

CPR - the aggregate of EPR and LPR (Early Pace to the 2nd call and Final Fraction respectively). A beginning measurement of Composite Pace, also referred to as a Total Pace Rating, as labeled and described in the early 90's Sartin Methodology intro book Pace Makes the Race. The differential between EPR and LPR creates the Early/Late Differential Graph (all found on the TPR+E/L screen) which can give a model for winners of the balance of energy (E or L) required for a given track, surface and distance - or for knowing which horse(s) in today's matchup display extreme or opposite energy disbursement patterns.

TT - Turn Time, a measurement of the 2nd fraction of a race's segments, so called because on many tracks and at some distances (e.g. sprints) the majority of the 2nd fraction of a race occurs on the far turn (see Brohamer's Modern Pace Handicapping for more discussion, or numerous Follow Ups)

HE - Hidden Energy, an aggregate of 2nd and 3rd fraction, so called because the calculation is somewhat 'hidden' from the general public (you need to extract the 2nd fraction velocity, the 3rd fraction and more or less average them.

FW - (Factor Win), similar to CPR, but weighted more Early for sprints and more Late for routes.

FX - Average of 1st and 3rd fractions.


These 7 compounded Primary Factors are based on velocity and are themselves aggregated and weighted to become the Bottom Line Score which forms one of the core 'magic numbers' in later Sartin software (e.g. along with V/DC and Total Energy).

Again, much more nuance and inter-relationships are discussed in later Follow Ups.

Hope that helps!

Ted
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