Quote:
Originally Posted by sq764
For anyone that ran Turfway Race 8 today using RDSS, my question is what did you do with that 9 horse COY CAT??
I used the 4th paceline back (his last dirt race).. I dont think it made a difference in the way of how he rated on BL but was curious how everyone dealt with those paceline selections..
Scott
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Scott,
I concur with Bill's advice above. As a general rule (though nothing is hard and fast), for a poly (artificial) surface in today's race, I would prefer (in descending order):
1. a line from another poly track
2. a Turf line
3. a dirt line, but usually ONLY if most of the other runners can also only be rated from dirt lines
Also, try to keep the distances as close as possible. Your mileage may vary, but I get satisfactory comparisons, and others report similar.
It's also useful to keep track of what's going on at a track. Here's the
running positions of winners on opening day at TP, by race (all sprints except for race #4):
8 6
3 1
1 1
1 1
4 4
1 1
3 3
2 1
3 3
1 1
6 3
1 1
1 1
1 1
7 3
1 1
9 5
1 1
Where does a horse
have to be at the Stretch call? Except for the 2 gate->wires (1 1 1 1) where should a horse
not be to the 2nd call?
Consider using this as some kind of guideline as to positional guidelines, but take that with a grain of salt. Study the
energy disbursement requirements
more closely. I don't have factor models for the day, but I would be surprised to learn that
Late was not an important factor for most winners.
Given the foregoing thoughts, study the following readouts (and Bill's display of Coy Cat's Raw lines and Running Style: he can win from 3rd position at the Stretch) and see if you could have gotten any closer...
Notes: The #9 Coy Cat was #2 CR (Class Rating - back class); its Total Energies were lower (compared to the others' poly lines) due to mostly Turf lines; Coy Cat was the
best Late energy horse, with the late
running style most fitting what won, at least on opening day. The favourite #5 returns after 204 days off - beyond my personal cut-off limit for win first out, regardless of ratings or odds (works for me).
BTW - congratulations on your workup of race #4!
Ted