Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

sq764 · 12-07-2009, 01:58 PM

Race 4:

(Note: 2/5 shot in here… 5 and 7 show only early speed)

BL: VDC 1= 7,1; VDC 3 = 5; VDC 4 = 6

ML Odds: 2/5, 6/1, 7/2, 30/1

Likely Play: PASS.. Just don’t see any value in a Maiden with a 2/5 shot that looks like a monster compared to this field

Race 5:

(Note: 9 shows possible Lone Early Speed)

BL: VDC 1 = 4,7; VDC 3 = 1,5; VDC 4 = 8

ML Odds: 3/1, 15/1, 20/1, 10/1, 2/1

Likely Play: Since 9 is 5/2 ML and likely short price as lone speed, will hide the 3/1 and 2/1 and play the 1,5 to win and box 1,5,8 exacta

Race 6:

BL: VDC 1 = 9; VDC 2 = 2,6; VDC 3 = 5, VDC 4 = 1

ML Odds: 9/2, 3/1, 4/1, 7/2, 6/1

Likely Play: Will have to wait for post time to see who is value of the 9,6,1… Otherwise pass..

12-07-2009, 01:58 PM	#2
sq764 AlwNW3X Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 45	Mountaineer races 4-6 Race 4: (Note: 2/5 shot in here… 5 and 7 show only early speed) BL: VDC 1= 7,1; VDC 3 = 5; VDC 4 = 6 ML Odds: 2/5, 6/1, 7/2, 30/1 Likely Play: PASS.. Just don’t see any value in a Maiden with a 2/5 shot that looks like a monster compared to this field Race 5: (Note: 9 shows possible Lone Early Speed) BL: VDC 1 = 4,7; VDC 3 = 1,5; VDC 4 = 8 ML Odds: 3/1, 15/1, 20/1, 10/1, 2/1 Likely Play: Since 9 is 5/2 ML and likely short price as lone speed, will hide the 3/1 and 2/1 and play the 1,5 to win and box 1,5,8 exacta Race 6: BL: VDC 1 = 9; VDC 2 = 2,6; VDC 3 = 5, VDC 4 = 1 ML Odds: 9/2, 3/1, 4/1, 7/2, 6/1 Likely Play: Will have to wait for post time to see who is value of the 9,6,1… Otherwise pass..