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Old 12-11-2009, 01:02 AM   #15
BJennet
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 311
Paceline selection

Quote:
Originally Posted by hansend View Post
R9: Hid 9, Win on 7,4; Should have followed the methodology and in the event of a tie, bet the higher odd horse...
hansend,

Don't completely disagree with the way you played this, but I personally wouldn't go as low as 7/2 with one of your choices, if betting two. And I know that it's hard to believe that a 19-1 will hit - but I think it's somewhat more likely at this class level than higher. Lastly, as far as the #4 goes, I think it's a mistake to use a year old line at a non-comparable distance. The last line, a mile from a couple of weeks ago, is much more reflective of current form. And compared with the last couple of lines of the #8, it isn't as good, which is probably why the #8 hit the board and the #4 ran out.

Agree with your passing the last couple of races.

In general, you really had a great night. It looks like you understand the Methodology nearly perfectly and are well on your way. Best of luck.

Cheers,

B Jennet
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