Quote:
Originally Posted by justin13892002
Okay,
guys as requested I will post some FAQ's. I know this isn't the way "The Hat" did it, but just posting my way.
1. Don't go more than 4 races back.
That rule is key. No matter whether 5th back is at todays distance and all or not, DONT go back more than 4 races.
2. Use the MOST RECENT race at todays distance if horse has raced at todays distance in last 4 races.
This is another KEY point. It doesn't matter whether 4 back was 25 BEYER points higher, we want the horse's most recent form at todays distance, if possible.
3. If no races in the last 4 races are at todays distance, use best BEYER AT TODAYS SURFACE!!!
4. If no races are at todays Surface in last 4 either, use BEST BEYER in last 4.
5. Never use positions, for anything more than identifying style. Always use beaten lengths when it comes to judging how a horse runs against a pace.
6. If you follow these guidelines STRICTLY, you should have a very good paceline, in which all the horses can be judged by.
Hope this helps some. Anymore questions feel free.
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Justin, a couple of other points to address or not:
In point 4 with no races at todays surface, do you opt for the race closest to today's pace? If last four are say, a half a furlong off in either direction, do you favor the shorter race or the longer or just the best Beyer?
In RDSS we don't have Beyers, per se, but adjusted speed ratings. Can they be considered as equivalent?
How do you choose races for horses with layoffs. You may or may not classify layoffs by some "days off" criteria. Do you have criteria for 30-60, 60-120, or other or longer layoffs?
Tandems. How long do you consider the results valid? Obviously recent is better, but sometimes we see several from last year or similar long periods. "Tread softly" or how do you see it?
Thanks for what you have posted already.
Bill L.