Thread: Tampa Wed 12/23
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Old 12-24-2009, 12:55 AM   #4
SilentRun
Grade 1 Aspiree
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Tampa R2 12/23

This is another example of 5F workouts for layoff horses winning or running
ITM. Also I know that for Tampa the early horse has the edge. This race is 6F.
The 2 and 8 horse are early but.....The 2 was off 279 days with no 5F works
and the 8 was off 90 days also without the magic 5F workout. However the
5 horse had two 5F workouts within 15 days of the race. Check out the panel.
This tells me the trainer is not using the race as a workout
but is serious about winning. Also the 5 is the next earlist horse.
The 5 won and paid 13.40.

As an aside at 1 MTP the Tote X-ray was: 2-4-1-5
The 8 horse was not in TX since 4 MTP and based on my stats
so far I would have to have a good reason to bet on a horse that is
not in the top 4 of the Tote X-ray since I am getting such a high probabilty
of winners in the TX top 4.

Writing this down helps me to clarify my decisions but at the same time
maybe some members may find this helpful in layoff handicapping.

Ernie
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Last edited by SilentRun; 12-24-2009 at 12:59 AM. Reason: add text
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